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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $526.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $564.5KEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
99.9¢
Bilibili Gaming
0.1¢
Team WE
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets68Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:116 trades$295.5K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bilibili Gaming · $26.3K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$38.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBilibili Gaming$39.0K@ 100¢·five5120

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team WE pressure: $53.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$53.1K
6h
+$31.1K
tracked
$295.5K

10 verified profitable wallets: Bilibili Gaming · $26.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team WE or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-03 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Team WE.

•This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Bilibili Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 3, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JaJa8882 linked markets · $86.4K gross
five51202 linked markets · $80.7K gross
GoodGuy262 linked markets · $28.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Bilibili Gaming UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $882 → $3.5K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bilibili Gaming; negative values favor Team WE. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam WE · $53.1K
6hBilibili Gaming · $31.1K
24hBilibili Gaming · $31.1K

Bilibili Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bilibili Gaming price. Team WE fills are converted to the complementary Bilibili Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h90.4¢▲ above by 9.5pp
VWAP 7d90.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bilibili Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$160.6K
90¢
$8.5K
85¢
$10.7K
80¢
$20.3K
75¢
$80.0K
70¢
$15.4K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBilibili Gaming$39.0K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$37.8K@ 99.9¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$31.7K@ 99.9¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$11.9K@ 80.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.9K@ 78.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.6K@ 77.0¢0x7c37…6aeb🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$11.0K@ 75.0¢
stop1234444440x3f97…4059
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JaJa888Bilibili Gaming$33.2K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·2 fills
0x7c37…6aebBilibili Gaming$31.6K
BUY VWAP 78.1¢·5 fills
zb8Bilibili Gaming$11.9K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
stop123444444Bilibili Gaming$11.0K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.