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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $193.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $286.2KEvent: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City Royals
99.9¢
Toronto Blue Jays
5.0¢
Kansas City Royals
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:95 trades$122.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Toronto Blue Jays · $5.8K net·8 wallets·$14.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Blue Jays$23.2K@ 54¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$984
6h
+$42.9K
tracked
$122.6K

8 verified profitable wallets: Toronto Blue Jays · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +45.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 45.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Toronto Blue Jays and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 5 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $16.6K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $15.7K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $468 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Toronto Blue Jays1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Toronto Blue Jays1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Toronto Blue Jays@ 55.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Toronto Blue Jays@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Toronto Blue Jays DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $30.9K → $17 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Toronto Blue Jays; negative values favor Kansas City Royals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $984
6hToronto Blue Jays · $42.9K
24hToronto Blue Jays · $42.0K

Toronto Blue Jays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Toronto Blue Jays price. Kansas City Royals fills are converted to the complementary Toronto Blue Jays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h58.6¢▲ above by 41.3pp
VWAP 7d58.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Toronto Blue Jays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.4K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$1
80¢
$0
75¢
$148
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$24.6K
60¢
$4.8K
55¢
$21.2K
50¢
$57.5K
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
$21
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$33
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Blue Jays$23.2K@ 54.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYToronto Blue Jays$12.7K@ 57.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKansas City Royals$10.0K@ 50.0¢
IAmHomelessNow0xd3fa…a26c
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafToronto Blue Jays$52.7K
BUY VWAP 56.4¢·6 fills
IAmHomelessNowKansas City Royals$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.