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Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $483.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $443.3KEvent: Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
0.1¢
4ikibamboni
100.0¢
Inner Circle
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:118 trades$140.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:4ikibamboni · $520 net·7 wallets·$29.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLInner Circle$23.3K@ 100¢·mqww

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

4ikibamboni pressure: $58.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$58.1K
6h
+$40.0K
tracked
$140.2K

7 verified profitable wallets: 4ikibamboni · $520 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from 4ikibamboni or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 22:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "4ikibamboni" if 4ikibamboni win the match against Inner Circle.

•This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against 4ikibamboni.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 4ikibamboni and Inner Circle in the EPL Masters Group A, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "4ikibamboni" if 4ikibamboni win the match against Inner Circle. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against 4ikibamboni. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mqww3 linked markets · $65.9K gross
nomoredream3 linked markets · $26.3K gross
GameGambleStakes3 linked markets · $21.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: 4ikibamboni DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $220 → $1 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 4ikibamboni; negative values favor Inner Circle. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h4ikibamboni · $58.1K
6h4ikibamboni · $40.0K
24h4ikibamboni · $40.0K

4ikibamboni price VWAP

Volume-weighted 4ikibamboni price. Inner Circle fills are converted to the complementary 4ikibamboni probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h24.3¢▼ below by 24.3pp
VWAP 7d24.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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4ikibamboni price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$11.8K
60¢
$3.0K
55¢
$7.5K
50¢
$11.9K
45¢
$6.6K
40¢
$294
35¢
$5.2K
30¢
$6.1K
25¢
$7.5K
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$261
10¢
$3.2K
5¢
$6.7K
0¢
← now
$64.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInner Circle$23.3K@ 99.9¢
mqww0xdc3f…5e0d
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mqwwInner Circle$16.6K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·5 fills
mqww4ikibamboni$15.6K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.