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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

● quote 16s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $43.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $335.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
3.5¢
FUT Esports
96.5¢
Vitality
2.4¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection45Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution76Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:113 trades$139.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Vitality · $37.5K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$73.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVitality$23.1K@ 68¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Vitality pressure: $62.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$62.4K
6h
−$63.7K
tracked
$139.4K

13 verified profitable wallets: Vitality · $37.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.4¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 85% · priority 65

Since latest large flow: +28.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 28.7pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-01 00:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against Vitality.

•This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against FUT Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between FUT Esports and Vitality in the BLAST Open Porto Group B, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against FUT Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f83 linked markets · $245.2K gross
Sunny242 linked markets · $66.5K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $63.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality39m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Vitality39m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 69.0¢48m ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Vitality@ 69.0¢48m ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: Vitality UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $12.7K → $2.4K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FUT Esports; negative values favor Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hVitality · $62.4K
6hVitality · $63.7K
24hVitality · $63.7K

FUT Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FUT Esports price. Vitality fills are converted to the complementary FUT Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.5¢
VWAP 24h28.2¢▼ below by 24.7pp
VWAP 7d28.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FUT Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$110.5K
25¢
$6.7K
20¢
$2.1K
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$8.0K
5¢
$3.5K
0¢
← now
$7.1K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVitality$23.1K@ 68.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYVitality$22.7K@ 68.0¢
Sunny240x2089…712e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Vitality$23.1K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
Sunny24Vitality$22.7K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49FUT Esports$11.0K
BUY VWAP 31.2¢·2 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fVitality$10.2K
BUY VWAP 69.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.