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Manacor: Sebastian Ofner vs Edas Butvilas

Sports→Settlement: Edas ButvilasLiquidity: $339.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $330.0KEvent: Manacor: Sebastian Ofner vs Edas Butvilas
0.0¢
Sebastian Ofner payout
100.0¢
Edas Butvilas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:77 trades$203.2K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 62%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 162 min agoofficial metadata 139 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Edas Butvilas · $78.6K net·10 wallets(2🐋)·$118.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEdas Butvilas$49.9K@ 92¢·007theone1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Edas Butvilas. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-08 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Ofner and Edas Butvilas in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Ofner' if Sebastian Ofner advances against Edas Butvilas. This market will resolve to 'Edas Butvilas' if Edas Butvilas advances against Sebastian Ofner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Edas Butvilas@ 89.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Sebastian Ofner; negative values favor Edas Butvilas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEdas Butvilas · $144.5K
6hEdas Butvilas · $145.6K
24hEdas Butvilas · $145.6K

Sebastian Ofner price VWAP

Volume-weighted Sebastian Ofner price. Edas Butvilas fills are converted to the complementary Sebastian Ofner probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h11.3¢▼ below by 11.3pp
VWAP 7d11.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Sebastian Ofner price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.0K
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$20.1K
35¢
$5.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$111.2K
0¢
← now
$61.4K

VPOC = 5¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEdas Butvilas$18.5K@ 99.9¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$11.9K@ 98.8¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$11.9K@ 98.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$12.0K@ 99.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$17.3K@ 93.6¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$14.2K@ 93.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$17.1K@ 92.1¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$49.9K@ 91.9¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEdas Butvilas$11.1K@ 58.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cEdas Butvilas$69.2K
BUY VWAP 94.7¢·6 fills
007theone1Edas Butvilas$66.0K
BUY VWAP 80.7¢·3 fills
0x5fd2…afceEdas Butvilas$17.1K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.