PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Sports→Settlement: Jasmine PaoliniLiquidity: $177.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $246.4KEvent: US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini
100.0¢
Jasmine Paolini payout
0.0¢
Lucrezia Stefanini payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:79 trades$126.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jasmine Paolini · $17.6K net·6 wallets·$23.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJasmine Paolini$25.6K@ 98¢·hd777

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Jasmine Paolini. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Lucrezia Stefanini in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Lucrezia Stefanini. This market will resolve to 'Lucrezia Stefanini' if Lucrezia Stefanini advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jasmine Paolini2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jasmine Paolini@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +38.9pp
Latest book event: Jasmine Paolini DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $129.2K → $75.4K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jasmine Paolini; negative values favor Lucrezia Stefanini. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJasmine Paolini · $10.4K
6hJasmine Paolini · $39.0K
24hJasmine Paolini · $39.0K

Jasmine Paolini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jasmine Paolini price. Lucrezia Stefanini fills are converted to the complementary Jasmine Paolini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h85.5¢▲ above by 14.5pp
VWAP 7d85.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Jasmine Paolini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$65.9K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$13.5K
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$481
70¢
$216
65¢
$18.8K
60¢
$8.5K
55¢
$8.9K
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLJasmine Paolini$17.3K@ 99.9¢
Supremeleader750x5dab…22e1
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYJasmine Paolini$25.6K@ 98.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJasmine Paolini$11.8K@ 88.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
66.5¢$2.0Mpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen
0.1¢$719.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosa
0.1¢$529.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech
7.5¢$502.4Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$346.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Jasmine Paolini$25.6K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiJasmine Paolini$18.6K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Jasmine Paolini$16.3K
BUY VWAP 60.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.