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US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $128.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $562.2KEvent: US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech
8.5¢
Jaume Munar
91.5¢
Arthur Rinderknech
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:143 trades$225.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Rinderknech · $22.0K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$80.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLArthur Rinderknech$20.2K@ 77¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Arthur Rinderknech pressure: $9.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$9.1K
6h
−$15.8K
tracked
$225.0K

12 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Rinderknech · $22.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 50

Since latest market sweep: +29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 29.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arthur Rinderknech or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Jaume Munar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Arthur Rinderknech2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Arthur Rinderknech@ 63.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +29.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Arthur Rinderknech2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Rinderknech@ 43.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +32.0pp
Latest book event: Jaume Munar DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.3K → $14.3K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaume Munar; negative values favor Arthur Rinderknech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Rinderknech · $9.1K
6hArthur Rinderknech · $15.8K
24hArthur Rinderknech · $24.3K

Jaume Munar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaume Munar price. Arthur Rinderknech fills are converted to the complementary Jaume Munar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.5¢
VWAP 24h38.1¢▼ below by 29.6pp
VWAP 7d38.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaume Munar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.9K
55¢
$31.1K
50¢
$18.4K
45¢
$9.1K
40¢
$53.1K
35¢
$43.0K
30¢
$99
25¢
$17.0K
20¢
$24.5K
15¢
$4.4K
10¢
$7.3K
5¢
← now
$12.1K
0¢
$1.9K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArthur Rinderknech$16.6K@ 71.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLArthur Rinderknech$20.2K@ 77.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArthur Rinderknech$13.9K@ 58.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArthur Rinderknech$10.2K@ 61.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArthur Rinderknech$14.0K@ 48.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtArthur Rinderknech$24.1K
BUY VWAP 59.2¢·2 fills
0x5f65…2036Arthur Rinderknech$23.0K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Arthur Rinderknech$18.2K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.