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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner

Sports→Settlement: SpiritLiquidity: $642.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $845.6KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
100.0¢
Spirit payout
0.0¢
MOUZ payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:210 trades$385.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 39 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit · $30.1K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$85.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSpirit$25.0K@ 100¢·0x5d9b…a5eb

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Spirit. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 4 against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 4 against Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 4 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 4 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 4. If Map 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize3 linked markets · $437.9K gross
Sunny244 linked markets · $160.7K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f5 linked markets · $123.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Spirit@ 91.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: MOUZ DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $2.0K → $3.3K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $47.2K
6hSpirit · $11.7K
24hSpirit · $11.7K

Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.6¢▲ above by 24.4pp
VWAP 7d75.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$140.8K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$10
80¢
$13.3K
75¢
$7.6K
70¢
$21.7K
65¢
$9.9K
60¢
$22.9K
55¢
$158.4K
50¢
$7.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSpirit$25.0K@ 99.9¢0x5d9b…a5eb🐋—40 minutes ago
SELLSpirit$12.3K@ 99.9¢
xiaoguapi0xd56b…342d
🐋—41 minutes ago
SELLSpirit$14.8K@ 99.9¢0xc74e…e725🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLSpirit$12.3K@ 99.9¢
Gggggrr880xe116…752c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSpirit$13.4K@ 99.0¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSpirit$12.0K@ 98.0¢
gt1a0x95c2…421b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSpirit$14.5K@ 58.0¢0x5d9b…a5eb🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fSpirit$17.5K
BUY VWAP 66.2¢·11 fills
gt1aSpirit$16.0K
BUY VWAP 98.2¢·2 fills
0x5d9b…a5ebSpirit$14.5K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
JaJa888Spirit$13.4K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.