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US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $47.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $946.5KEvent: US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
10.5¢
Marta Kostyuk
89.5¢
Linda Noskova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets2Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:230 trades$408.8K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marta Kostyuk · $1.8K net·19 wallets(2🐋)·$115.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarta Kostyuk$34.9K@ 58¢·11vsldfdsgfkjgos

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Linda Noskova pressure: $43.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$43.0K
6h
−$81.2K
tracked
$408.8K

19 verified profitable wallets: Marta Kostyuk · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 44

Since latest market sweep: +31.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 31.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Linda Noskova or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Linda Noskova. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Linda Noskova56m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Linda Noskova@ 59.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -25.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Linda Noskova@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h STALLED +3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Linda Noskova@ 58.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -23.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
Latest book event: Linda Noskova DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $5.8K → $38.3K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marta Kostyuk; negative values favor Linda Noskova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLinda Noskova · $43.0K
6hLinda Noskova · $81.2K
24hLinda Noskova · $84.9K

Marta Kostyuk price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marta Kostyuk price. Linda Noskova fills are converted to the complementary Marta Kostyuk probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current10.5¢
VWAP 24h39.3¢▼ below by 28.8pp
VWAP 7d39.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marta Kostyuk price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.6K
65¢
$11.4K
60¢
$13.9K
55¢
$109.2K
50¢
$23.4K
45¢
$39.5K
40¢
$33.2K
35¢
$37.5K
30¢
$10.9K
25¢
$5.8K
20¢
$2.7K
15¢
$74.7K
10¢
← now
$3.4K
5¢
$25.9K
0¢
$12.7K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLinda Noskova$10.0K@ 43.8¢0x9c68…247a🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYLinda Noskova$10.0K@ 98.0¢
Paul9739730xa108…abd3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLinda Noskova$12.3K@ 84.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLinda Noskova$11.3K@ 83.0¢0x9c68…247a🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLinda Noskova$34.0K@ 83.3¢0x9c68…247a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLinda Noskova$12.0K@ 63.1¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLinda Noskova$10.0K@ 43.9¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMarta Kostyuk$10.0K@ 53.3¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova$20.0K@ 54.9¢0x9c68…247a🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova$15.0K@ 43.9¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMarta Kostyuk$34.9K@ 58.2¢
11vsldfdsgfkjgos0x3970…44ce
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9c68…247aLinda Noskova$39.8K
BUY VWAP 51.6¢·3 fills
11vsldfdsgfkjgosMarta Kostyuk$34.9K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·1 fill
CORGI8Linda Noskova$28.1K
BUY VWAP 47.7¢·6 fills
soukaevLinda Noskova$15.0K
BUY VWAP 43.9¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardLinda Noskova$13.7K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·3 fills
n0tTODAYLinda Noskova$12.3K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
kkookkooLinda Noskova$12.0K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·1 fill
FlaznorpLinda Noskova$10.3K
BUY VWAP 78.1¢·4 fills
0x076d…8d4cMarta Kostyuk$10.1K
BUY VWAP 23.8¢·5 fills
Paul973973Linda Noskova$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.