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LoL: LYON vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: LYONLiquidity: $136.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $55.6KEvent: LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢
LYON payout
0.0¢
Disguised payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:7 trades$12.9K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 113 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLYON$3.7K@ 100¢·okalright

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome LYON. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-07 03:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Disguised.

•This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against LYON.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win Game 1 against LYON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
teacherbai2 linked markets · $10.6K gross
0xed08…e0822 linked markets · $6.2K gross
0xb777…87032 linked markets · $3.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LYON; negative values favor Disguised. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLYON · $0
6hLYON · $6.1K
24hLYON · $6.1K

LYON price VWAP

Volume-weighted LYON price. Disguised fills are converted to the complementary LYON probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h96.7¢▲ above by 3.3pp
VWAP 7d96.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LYON price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.7K
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.2K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.