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Oklahoma vs. Michigan

● quote 50s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $25.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $43.2KEvent: Oklahoma vs. Michigan
68.0¢
Oklahoma
32.0¢
Michigan
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution71Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%
24h sample:6 trades$21.2K trackedsource coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1188 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOklahoma$6.3K@ 57¢·omoi0i0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$21.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 1188 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Michigan, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Oklahoma; negative values favor Michigan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOklahoma · $0
6hOklahoma · $0
24hOklahoma · $21.0K

Oklahoma price VWAP

Volume-weighted Oklahoma price. Michigan fills are converted to the complementary Oklahoma probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current68.0¢
VWAP 24h54.4¢▲ above by 13.6pp
VWAP 7d54.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Oklahoma price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$88
60¢
$0
55¢
$12.4K
50¢
$8.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

omoi0i0Oklahoma$12.4K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.