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Alabama vs. Kentucky

Sports→Settlement: AlabamaLiquidity: $232.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $804.2KEvent: Alabama vs. Kentucky
100.0¢
Alabama payout
0.0¢
Kentucky payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:73 trades$143.6K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1296 min agoofficial metadata 1283 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kentucky · $37.8K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$98.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKentucky$33.1K@ 23¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alabama. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Kentucky, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x418d…88a32 linked markets · $6.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Alabama UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $20.2K → $31.6K · 57s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alabama; negative values favor Kentucky. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKentucky · $12.4K
6hKentucky · $7.9K
24hKentucky · $7.9K

Alabama price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alabama price. Kentucky fills are converted to the complementary Alabama probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.0¢▲ above by 30.0pp
VWAP 7d70.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alabama price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$16.5K
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.2K
75¢
$58.1K
70¢
$48.1K
65¢
$10.5K
60¢
$64.7K
55¢
$35.8K
50¢
$2
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlabama$15.0K@ 60.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYKentucky$18.4K@ 41.0¢0xbc43…96d3🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYAlabama$29.0K@ 60.0¢
SS7878780xdd7e…0be3
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYKentucky$33.1K@ 23.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Kentucky$33.1K
BUY VWAP 23.0¢·1 fill
SS787878Alabama$29.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
177-letsgoAlabama$22.1K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·2 fills
0xbc43…96d3Kentucky$19.5K
BUY VWAP 38.2¢·2 fills
RN1Kentucky$17.9K
BUY VWAP 28.5¢·4 fills
curieKentucky$14.8K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·4 fills
SS787878Kentucky$11.5K
BUY VWAP 37.2¢·3 fills
rollobravadoAlabama$11.0K
BUY VWAP 73.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.