Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 57% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo outscore Michigan State in the fourth quarter.
•This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State outscore Toledo in the fourth quarter.
In the fourth quarter of the college football game between Toledo and Michigan State, scheduled for September 4 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toledo" if Toledo outscore Michigan State in the fourth quarter. This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State outscore Toledo in the fourth quarter. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, this market will resolve 50-50. Only points scored during that period count; overtime is not included. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Toledo price VWAP
Largest holders
Toledo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.