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US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina

● quote 52s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $140.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $888.0KEvent: US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Dalibor Svrcina
50.5¢
Luciano Darderi
49.5¢
Dalibor Svrcina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets71Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:130 trades$369.5K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 34 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Luciano Darderi · $74.2K net·13 wallets(2🐋)·$104.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLuciano Darderi$40.8K@ 82¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Luciano Darderi pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.3K
6h
−$5.9K
tracked
$369.5K

13 verified profitable wallets: Luciano Darderi · $74.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +21.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 34 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 21.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Luciano Darderi or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Dalibor Svrcina in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Dalibor Svrcina. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Luciano Darderi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Dalibor Svrcina40m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dalibor Svrcina46m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dalibor Svrcina46m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Dalibor Svrcina@ 29.0¢55m ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: Luciano Darderi DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $72 → $15.3K · 6s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Luciano Darderi; negative values favor Dalibor Svrcina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuciano Darderi · $2.3K
6hDalibor Svrcina · $5.9K
24hLuciano Darderi · $19.4K

Luciano Darderi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Luciano Darderi price. Dalibor Svrcina fills are converted to the complementary Luciano Darderi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h64.4¢▼ below by 13.9pp
VWAP 7d64.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Luciano Darderi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$58.5K
75¢
$14.5K
70¢
$39.5K
65¢
$61.2K
60¢
$3.2K
55¢
$138.8K
50¢
← now
$45.7K
45¢
$8.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDalibor Svrcina$12.0K@ 29.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDalibor Svrcina$10.6K@ 34.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDalibor Svrcina$14.8K@ 34.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$15.5K@ 84.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLLuciano Darderi$40.8K@ 82.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$10.0K@ 71.1¢0x772f…8145🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$16.9K@ 54.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$11.5K@ 56.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$10.4K@ 55.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$17.9K@ 54.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$20.7K@ 57.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$18.6K@ 58.2¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLuciano Darderi$28.7K@ 57.5¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtLuciano Darderi$60.3K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·5 fills
Gourmet1Dalibor Svrcina$58.3K
BUY VWAP 32.5¢·7 fills
0x5f65…2036Luciano Darderi$39.3K
BUY VWAP 57.6¢·2 fills
AV23IUaLuciano Darderi$28.7K
BUY VWAP 57.5¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Dalibor Svrcina$11.1K
BUY VWAP 37.9¢·4 fills
0x78be…bde0Luciano Darderi$10.2K
BUY VWAP 59.2¢·2 fills
0x772f…8145Luciano Darderi$10.0K
BUY VWAP 71.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.