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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $65.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $509.8KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
44.5¢
Atlanta Braves
55.5¢
Philadelphia Phillies
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection34Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets78Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:96 trades$273.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $51.2K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$65.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$26.2K@ 67¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Philadelphia Phillies SETUP
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $92.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$92.5K
6h
−$162.3K
tracked
$273.7K

10 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $51.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 70

Since latest liquidity absorption: -7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-14 17:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 7 at 1:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $57.9K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $11.6K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $1.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 63.0¢10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 38.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 62.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 60.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $26.9K → $110 · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $92.5K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $162.3K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $193.0K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h37.0¢▲ above by 7.5pp
VWAP 7d37.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$72.3K
35¢
$168.7K
30¢
$32.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$19.8K@ 65.0¢
787-HUEV-W-ZOPE0xdd63…050f
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$26.2K@ 67.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$18.3K@ 63.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAtlanta Braves$25.0K@ 38.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$24.0K@ 60.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooPhiladelphia Phillies$44.4K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·15 fills
SDTradingPhiladelphia Phillies$26.3K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·2 fills
xifutloong3Philadelphia Phillies$26.2K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaAtlanta Braves$25.0K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
787-HUEV-W-ZOPEPhiladelphia Phillies$21.0K
BUY VWAP 65.1¢·2 fills
kingflopPhiladelphia Phillies$19.6K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·4 fills
sifonmanPhiladelphia Phillies$13.6K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·3 fills
mirotvoretsPhiladelphia Phillies$13.2K
BUY VWAP 63.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.