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US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $92.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx
41.5¢
Francisco Cerundolo
58.5¢
Alexander Blockx
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:253 trades$495.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisco Cerundolo · $11.2K net·17 wallets(2🐋)·$107.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$64.6K@ 81¢·0xwise

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Francisco Cerundolo pressure: $78.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$78.3K
6h
+$29.4K
tracked
$495.2K

17 verified profitable wallets: Francisco Cerundolo · $11.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 55

Since latest large flow: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Francisco Cerundolo or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alexander Blockx in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Alexander Blockx. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Francisco Cerundolo9m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alexander Blockx9m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Blockx@ 35.0¢18m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Alexander Blockx@ 34.0¢18m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Francisco Cerundolo DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $10.5K → $2.3K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisco Cerundolo; negative values favor Alexander Blockx. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisco Cerundolo · $78.3K
6hFrancisco Cerundolo · $29.4K
24hFrancisco Cerundolo · $15.2K

Francisco Cerundolo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisco Cerundolo price. Alexander Blockx fills are converted to the complementary Francisco Cerundolo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h51.9¢▼ below by 10.4pp
VWAP 7d51.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Francisco Cerundolo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$4.9K
85¢
$0
80¢
$64.6K
75¢
$8.3K
70¢
$17.7K
65¢
$14.7K
60¢
$9.6K
55¢
$12.5K
50¢
$59.8K
45¢
$93.5K
40¢
← now
$102.8K
35¢
$114.3K
30¢
$7.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$64.6K@ 81.0¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYAlexander Blockx$10.0K@ 50.5¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$11.0K@ 52.5¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$10.1K@ 46.0¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$22.0K@ 39.5¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Blockx$33.0K@ 61.0¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Blockx$26.4K@ 60.2¢
Sunny240x2089…712e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrancisco Cerundolo$21.4K@ 40.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Blockx$10.0K@ 60.0¢0xbbf3…aa3a🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Blockx$12.7K@ 60.1¢
itsbig0x37e0…5b05
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYAlexander Blockx$11.5K@ 59.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xwiseFrancisco Cerundolo$64.6K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill
0xwiseAlexander Blockx$33.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Alexander Blockx$32.5K
BUY VWAP 42.9¢·8 fills
Sunny24Alexander Blockx$26.4K
BUY VWAP 60.2¢·1 fill
HectorHuangFrancisco Cerundolo$22.0K
BUY VWAP 39.5¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Francisco Cerundolo$21.7K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·6 fills
0b1feFrancisco Cerundolo$21.4K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
unknownloser1Francisco Cerundolo$21.1K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·2 fills
AntblackAlexander Blockx$14.6K
BUY VWAP 53.7¢·2 fills
RunemupAlexander Blockx$14.0K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.