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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $25.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $417.6KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
48.5¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.5¢
Kansas City Royals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution78Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:67 trades$213.4K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kansas City Royals · $93.4K net·8 wallets(2🐋)·$93.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$60.0K@ 50¢·BrotherObama

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Kansas City Royals SETUP
What the tape says

Kansas City Royals pressure: $60.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$60.7K
6h
−$74.1K
tracked
$213.4K

8 verified profitable wallets: Kansas City Royals · $93.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 72

Since latest accumulation: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kansas City Royals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-14 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 7 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Kansas City Royals@ 53.0¢10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 53.0¢10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 50.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 50.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor Kansas City Royals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $60.7K
6hKansas City Royals · $74.1K
24hKansas City Royals · $72.8K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. Kansas City Royals fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h49.4¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d49.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2
50¢
$152.7K
45¢
← now
$59.7K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKansas City Royals$12.1K@ 51.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYKansas City Royals$32.8K@ 50.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYKansas City Royals$15.8K@ 52.0¢0xce80…9a82🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$60.0K@ 50.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKansas City Royals$26.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaArizona Diamondbacks$60.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
xifutloong3Kansas City Royals$50.5K
BUY VWAP 50.5¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Kansas City Royals$35.3K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills
0xce80…9a82Kansas City Royals$20.9K
BUY VWAP 51.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.