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New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $27.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $297.7KEvent: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
99.2¢
New York Mets
0.8¢
Miami Marlins
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly14Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets31Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:99 trades$116.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miami Marlins · $8.5K net·10 wallets·$27.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$12.5K@ 54¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$450
6h
+$22.4K
tracked
$116.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Miami Marlins · $8.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-14 17:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 7 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $12.9K gross
ForAndWithYou2 linked markets · $10.3K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $537 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: New York Mets UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $36.8K → $20.3K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Mets; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Mets · $450
6hNew York Mets · $22.4K
24hMiami Marlins · $35.6K

New York Mets price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Mets price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary New York Mets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.2¢
VWAP 24h47.7¢▲ above by 51.5pp
VWAP 7d47.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Mets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$430
90¢
$17
85¢
$173
80¢
$482
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$2.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$1.4K
45¢
$69.1K
40¢
$25.1K
35¢
$7.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Mets$11.9K@ 44.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$12.5K@ 54.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$12.3K@ 54.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeromontNew York Mets$15.3K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
ic4creamMiami Marlins$14.5K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
monkeymashingkeyboardMiami Marlins$12.5K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafNew York Mets$11.9K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.