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Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $114.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $158.1KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
27.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
72.5¢
Baltimore Orioles
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection37Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:38 trades$70.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Baltimore Orioles · $12.0K net·3 wallets·$21.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBaltimore Orioles$12.0K@ 56¢·IAmHomelessNow

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Baltimore Orioles SETUP
What the tape says

Baltimore Orioles pressure: $25.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$25.8K
6h
−$43.2K
tracked
$70.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Baltimore Orioles · $12.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 66

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Baltimore Orioles or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-14 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $15.0K gross
ic4cream2 linked markets · $13.4K gross
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $8.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Cleveland Guardians UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $9.1K → $5.5K · 65s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBaltimore Orioles · $25.8K
6hBaltimore Orioles · $43.2K
24hBaltimore Orioles · $46.9K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current27.5¢
VWAP 24h42.6¢▼ below by 15.1pp
VWAP 7d42.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$28.0K
40¢
$32.3K
35¢
$6.3K
30¢
$1.2K
25¢
← now
$2.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBaltimore Orioles$12.0K@ 56.0¢
IAmHomelessNow0xd3fa…a26c
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

IAmHomelessNowBaltimore Orioles$12.0K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rBaltimore Orioles$11.7K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·5 fills
FeromontBaltimore Orioles$11.1K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardBaltimore Orioles$10.0K
BUY VWAP 60.8¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.