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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $72.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $387.8KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
43.5¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
56.5¢
Kansas City Royals
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets83Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:46 trades$187.6K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kansas City Royals · $20.0K net·4 wallets·$24.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$55.0K@ 53¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Kansas City Royals SETUP
What the tape says

Kansas City Royals pressure: $16.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$16.4K
6h
−$18.0K
tracked
$187.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Kansas City Royals · $20.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 65

Since latest large flow: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Kansas City Royals or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 8 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 51.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 50.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 54.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor Kansas City Royals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKansas City Royals · $16.4K
6hKansas City Royals · $18.0K
24hKansas City Royals · $14.2K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. Kansas City Royals fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h51.5¢▼ below by 8.0pp
VWAP 7d51.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$161.2K
45¢
$21.0K
40¢
← now
$5.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKansas City Royals$36.3K@ 49.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKansas City Royals$24.0K@ 47.9¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$55.0K@ 53.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$14.2K@ 52.6¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Arizona Diamondbacks$69.1K
BUY VWAP 52.9¢·2 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rKansas City Royals$36.3K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
0x5e94…5ba1Kansas City Royals$24.0K
BUY VWAP 47.9¢·1 fill
quavooArizona Diamondbacks$11.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardKansas City Royals$10.6K
BUY VWAP 55.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.