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US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea

Sports→Settlement: Sorana CirsteaLiquidity: $290.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $567.8KEvent: US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea
0.0¢
Jasmine Paolini payout
100.0¢
Sorana Cirstea payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:122 trades$192.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 33 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sorana Cirstea · $11.5K net·11 wallets·$59.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSorana Cirstea$17.5K@ 100¢·hamlo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Sorana Cirstea. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Sorana Cirstea. This market will resolve to 'Sorana Cirstea' if Sorana Cirstea advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Jasmine Paolini2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Sorana Cirstea2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Jasmine Paolini@ 20.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Sorana Cirstea@ 79.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Jasmine Paolini DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $15.6K → $6.0K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jasmine Paolini; negative values favor Sorana Cirstea. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJasmine Paolini · $6.9K
6hJasmine Paolini · $13.5K
24hJasmine Paolini · $16.5K

Jasmine Paolini price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jasmine Paolini price. Sorana Cirstea fills are converted to the complementary Jasmine Paolini probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.9¢▼ below by 24.9pp
VWAP 7d24.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jasmine Paolini price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$4.1K
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$31.1K
35¢
$38.7K
30¢
$1.3K
25¢
$24.2K
20¢
$25.7K
15¢
$6.9K
10¢
$5.6K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$48.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSorana Cirstea$17.5K@ 99.9¢
hamlo0x7414…72a3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYJasmine Paolini$11.0K@ 37.4¢
Omnipollo440x604a…ea22
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSorana Cirstea$13.9K@ 72.0¢
hamlo0x7414…72a3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSorana Cirstea$10.7K@ 75.4¢
tradecraft0xde9f…d43c
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYJasmine Paolini$15.0K@ 36.6¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Jasmine Paolini$15.0K
BUY VWAP 36.6¢·1 fill
hamloSorana Cirstea$13.9K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
tradecraftSorana Cirstea$11.1K
BUY VWAP 75.6¢·2 fills
Omnipollo44Jasmine Paolini$11.0K
BUY VWAP 37.4¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Sorana Cirstea$10.8K
BUY VWAP 58.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.