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US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $147.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $506.7KEvent: US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur
74.5¢
Botic van de Zandschulp
25.5¢
Alex de Minaur
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$232.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alex de Minaur · $31.9K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$49.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlex de Minaur$13.0K@ 59¢·devilbanker

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Alex de Minaur SETUP
What the tape says

Alex de Minaur pressure: $36.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$36.1K
6h
−$136.0K
tracked
$232.6K

12 verified profitable wallets: Alex de Minaur · $31.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: -33.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alex de Minaur or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Alex de Minaur in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alex de Minaur@ 59.0¢28m ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Alex de Minaur@ 58.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Alex de Minaur@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alex de Minaur@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Botic van de Zandschulp UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $54.1K → $22.3K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Botic van de Zandschulp; negative values favor Alex de Minaur. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex de Minaur · $36.1K
6hAlex de Minaur · $136.0K
24hAlex de Minaur · $136.0K

Botic van de Zandschulp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Botic van de Zandschulp price. Alex de Minaur fills are converted to the complementary Botic van de Zandschulp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current74.5¢
VWAP 24h39.1¢▲ above by 35.4pp
VWAP 7d39.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Botic van de Zandschulp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$0
65¢
$21.6K
60¢
$4.0K
55¢
$4.8K
50¢
$3.4K
45¢
$10.1K
40¢
$50.9K
35¢
$58.8K
30¢
$21.2K
25¢
$57.7K
20¢
$116
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlex de Minaur$13.0K@ 58.6¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlex de Minaur$10.6K@ 56.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$10.0K@ 43.6¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlex de Minaur$11.6K@ 75.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

rabbitfoot1Alex de Minaur$67.9K
BUY VWAP 53.2¢·14 fills
tradecraftAlex de Minaur$18.5K
BUY VWAP 67.9¢·3 fills
devilbankerAlex de Minaur$13.0K
BUY VWAP 58.6¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Alex de Minaur$11.6K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtAlex de Minaur$10.6K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill
0x78be…bde0Botic van de Zandschulp$10.0K
BUY VWAP 43.6¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.