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US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff

Sports→Settlement: Coco GauffLiquidity: $153.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $551.3KEvent: US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff
0.0¢
Paula Badosa payout
100.0¢
Coco Gauff payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCoco Gauff$70.1K@ 85¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Coco Gauff. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-10 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Coco Gauff in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Coco Gauff. This market will resolve to 'Coco Gauff' if Coco Gauff advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Coco Gauff@ 86.0¢13d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Coco Gauff@ 85.0¢13d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paula Badosa; negative values favor Coco Gauff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCoco Gauff · $11.0K
6hCoco Gauff · $100.4K
24hCoco Gauff · $175.3K

Paula Badosa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paula Badosa price. Coco Gauff fills are converted to the complementary Paula Badosa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.5¢▼ below by 13.5pp
VWAP 7d13.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Paula Badosa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$760
20¢
$21.4K
15¢
$93.3K
10¢
$83.3K
5¢
$5.4K
0¢
← now
$23.3K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCoco Gauff$10.0K@ 79.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—13 days ago
BUYCoco Gauff$15.8K@ 86.0¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—13 days ago
BUYCoco Gauff$11.5K@ 86.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—13 days ago
BUYCoco Gauff$70.1K@ 85.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—13 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.