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US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $164.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $428.9KEvent: US Open ATP: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng
0.1¢
Yunchaokete Bu
99.9¢
Michael Zheng
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:105 trades$152.0K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Michael Zheng · $5.1K net·11 wallets·$35.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichael Zheng$18.6K@ 95¢·hd777

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Michael Zheng pressure: $28.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$28.6K
6h
−$50.5K
tracked
$152.0K

11 verified profitable wallets: Michael Zheng · $5.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +29.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 27 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 29.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Michael Zheng or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-10 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Michael Zheng in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yunchaokete Bu' if Yunchaokete Bu advances against Michael Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Michael Zheng' if Michael Zheng advances against Yunchaokete Bu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Michael Zheng1h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Michael Zheng@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Yunchaokete Bu DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $3.7K → $39.8K · 28s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yunchaokete Bu; negative values favor Michael Zheng. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichael Zheng · $28.6K
6hMichael Zheng · $50.5K
24hMichael Zheng · $54.6K

Yunchaokete Bu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yunchaokete Bu price. Michael Zheng fills are converted to the complementary Yunchaokete Bu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h23.5¢▼ below by 23.4pp
VWAP 7d23.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yunchaokete Bu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.5K
40¢
$5.5K
35¢
$55.3K
30¢
$4.2K
25¢
$13.2K
20¢
$5.0K
15¢
$13.8K
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
$24.7K
0¢
← now
$24.0K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMichael Zheng$18.6K@ 95.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMichael Zheng$10.0K@ 71.0¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Michael Zheng$28.4K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·2 fills
soukaevMichael Zheng$10.0K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.