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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $54.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $356.0KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
1.6¢
Tampa Bay Rays
98.5¢
Texas Rangers
1.1¢
Spread
anomaly83Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$145.3K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Texas Rangers · $4.5K net·5 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTexas Rangers$42.0K@ 47¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Tampa Bay Rays pressure: $2.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.5K
6h
−$60.3K
tracked
$145.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: Texas Rangers · $4.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.1¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +51.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 51.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tampa Bay Rays or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 00:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 3 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 48.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Texas Rangers@ 48.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 54.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $31 → $40 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Texas Rangers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $2.5K
6hTexas Rangers · $60.3K
24hTexas Rangers · $44.6K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Texas Rangers fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.6¢
VWAP 24h52.1¢▼ below by 50.6pp
VWAP 7d52.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$385
50¢
$140.4K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$184
25¢
$4
20¢
$289
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.8K
0¢
← now
$186

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$19.9K@ 53.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers$42.0K@ 47.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers$15.0K@ 47.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTexas Rangers$24.8K@ 46.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$16.0K@ 53.1¢
N340xfd67…ef90
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Texas Rangers$66.9K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·2 fills
Elaran1993Tampa Bay Rays$19.9K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
N34Tampa Bay Rays$16.0K
BUY VWAP 53.1¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaTexas Rangers$15.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.