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Game Spread: Medvedev (-4.5) vs Rinderknech (+4.5)

Sports→Settlement: MedvedevLiquidity: $89.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.4KEvent: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
100.0¢
Medvedev payout
0.0¢
Rinderknech payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:4 trades$15.9K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 196 min agoofficial metadata 55 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRinderknech$15.7K@ 53¢·ethanaz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Medvedev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $48.7K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $39.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Medvedev DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $61 → $61 · 67s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Medvedev; negative values favor Rinderknech. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMedvedev · $0
6hRinderknech · $15.8K
24hRinderknech · $15.8K

Medvedev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Medvedev price. Rinderknech fills are converted to the complementary Medvedev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▲ above by 53.0pp
VWAP 7d47.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$15.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRinderknech$15.7K@ 53.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazRinderknech$15.7K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.