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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $60.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $331.7KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox
95.5¢
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.5¢
Chicago White Sox
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly63Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets76Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority54Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:106 trades$181.0K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 37s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $8.2K net·8 wallets·$10.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$36.6K@ 56¢·0x17c4…2471

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Pittsburgh Pirates pressure: $1.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.5K
6h
−$99.4K
tracked
$181.0K

8 verified profitable wallets: Chicago White Sox · $8.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 54

Since latest market sweep: -55.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Pittsburgh Pirates or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 9 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MAGATheeStallion2 linked markets · $4.0K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $122 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago White Sox2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago White Sox@ 60.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 55.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: Pittsburgh Pirates UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $6.3K → $2.4K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor Chicago White Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $1.5K
6hChicago White Sox · $99.4K
24hChicago White Sox · $82.1K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. Chicago White Sox fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current95.5¢
VWAP 24h46.5¢▲ above by 49.0pp
VWAP 7d46.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$37.6K
85¢
$3.9K
80¢
$393
75¢
$0
70¢
$210
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$68.3K
40¢
$61.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K@ 92.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K@ 92.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYChicago White Sox$36.6K@ 55.7¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYChicago White Sox$33.5K@ 55.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$13.6K@ 45.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x17c4…2471Chicago White Sox$70.2K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·2 fills
sifonmanPittsburgh Pirates$18.0K
BUY VWAP 91.7¢·2 fills
kkookkooChicago White Sox$15.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills
0x3dfb…abafPittsburgh Pirates$13.6K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
edge7777Pittsburgh Pirates$12.9K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.