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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $382.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.4MEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp
99.2¢
Alexander Zverev
0.9¢
Botic van de Zandschulp
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets62Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:186 trades$1.5M tracked9% 🐋source coverage 63%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $97.7K net·15 wallets(5🐋)·$157.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$488.3K@ 88¢·Noprajsk

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Alexander Zverev pressure: $6.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.3K
6h
+$1.3M
tracked
$1.5M

15 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $97.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +11.2pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 11.2pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexander Zverev or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Botic van de Zandschulp in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Alexander Zverev@ 88.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Alexander Zverev@ 88.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 89.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 88.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Botic van de Zandschulp. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $6.3K
6hAlexander Zverev · $1.3M
24hAlexander Zverev · $1.4M

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Botic van de Zandschulp fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.2¢
VWAP 24h88.1¢▲ above by 11.0pp
VWAP 7d88.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$33.5K
90¢
$106.4K
85¢
$1.4M
80¢
$11.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlexander Zverev$13.5K@ 89.8¢
Ilgato0xbdc3…c0ea
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$18.6K@ 92.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$13.8K@ 92.0¢
TRCM0x42c9…9623
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$27.4K@ 95.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.0K@ 92.6¢
eugenepol00xab9d…cf12
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$16.4K@ 90.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$13.4K@ 89.0¢
Ilgato0xbdc3…c0ea
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$10.9K@ 13.0¢
CongoleseBorat0x6f0e…2ee5
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$12.3K@ 88.0¢
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$488.3K@ 88.0¢
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBotic van de Zandschulp$17.4K@ 12.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$376.4K@ 88.0¢
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$269.3K@ 87.0¢
Noprajsk0x31e5…4879
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$18.7K@ 87.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.0K@ 89.0¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$10.1K@ 89.0¢
owejosamdfi0x208c…6b98
🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

NoprajskAlexander Zverev$1.2M
BUY VWAP 87.8¢·7 fills
0F62Alexander Zverev$48.9K
BUY VWAP 92.1¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Alexander Zverev$26.4K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·2 fills
FlaznorpAlexander Zverev$18.6K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Botic van de Zandschulp$18.5K
BUY VWAP 11.9¢·2 fills
HomelandomAlexander Zverev$17.8K
BUY VWAP 88.5¢·2 fills
TRCMAlexander Zverev$13.8K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill
IlgatoAlexander Zverev$13.4K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
LeBronGamerAlexander Zverev$12.8K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·5 fills
CongoleseBoratBotic van de Zandschulp$10.9K
BUY VWAP 13.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.