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Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $89.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $671.3KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
0.4¢
Chicago Cubs
99.7¢
Milwaukee Brewers
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly52Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets86Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:90 trades$195.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Milwaukee Brewers · $17.1K net·6 wallets·$19.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMilwaukee Brewers$72.6K@ 84¢·ethanaz

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$177
6h
−$117.0K
tracked
$195.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Milwaukee Brewers · $17.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -16.5pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-16 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for September 9 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Milwaukee Brewers2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 17.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.8pp1h INVALIDATED -13.9pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 84.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.1pp1h CONFIRMED +12.2pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $27 → $102 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Milwaukee Brewers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMilwaukee Brewers · $177
6hMilwaukee Brewers · $117.0K
24hMilwaukee Brewers · $118.5K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Milwaukee Brewers fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.4¢
VWAP 24h22.8¢▼ below by 22.5pp
VWAP 7d22.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$38.8K
40¢
$11.7K
35¢
$29
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$129.1K
10¢
$1
5¢
$4.5K
0¢
← now
$11.0K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$72.6K@ 84.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$36.8K@ 55.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazMilwaukee Brewers$72.6K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
0x5e94…5ba1Milwaukee Brewers$36.8K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
Kmafi8Chicago Cubs$23.0K
BUY VWAP 17.0¢·8 fills
dips.Milwaukee Brewers$16.1K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.