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US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $144.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $667.8KEvent: US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi
92.5¢
Karen Khachanov
7.5¢
Benjamin Bonzi
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection21Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets64Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:86 trades$299.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karen Khachanov · $21.9K net·5 wallets·$34.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaren Khachanov$39.7K@ 86¢·beeemw

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Karen Khachanov SETUP
What the tape says

Karen Khachanov pressure: $63.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$63.0K
6h
+$37.5K
tracked
$299.3K

5 verified profitable wallets: Karen Khachanov · $21.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 64

Since latest market sweep: +5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Karen Khachanov or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Benjamin Bonzi. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Karen Khachanov@ 88.0¢13m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 25.0¢25m ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 31.0¢49m ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Benjamin Bonzi@ 36.0¢58m ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
Latest book event: Benjamin Bonzi DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $7.1K → $2.8K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karen Khachanov; negative values favor Benjamin Bonzi. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaren Khachanov · $63.0K
6hKaren Khachanov · $37.5K
24hKaren Khachanov · $44.6K

Karen Khachanov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karen Khachanov price. Benjamin Bonzi fills are converted to the complementary Karen Khachanov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.5¢
VWAP 24h72.5¢▲ above by 20.1pp
VWAP 7d72.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karen Khachanov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$3.9K
85¢
$54.9K
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$58.7K
70¢
$31.9K
65¢
$61.3K
60¢
$86.2K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKaren Khachanov$39.7K@ 85.8¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$32.5K@ 37.0¢
Gourmet10xc430…1ebf
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBenjamin Bonzi$19.5K@ 31.6¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Gourmet1Benjamin Bonzi$75.1K
BUY VWAP 33.1¢·8 fills
beeemwKaren Khachanov$39.7K
BUY VWAP 85.8¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Benjamin Bonzi$19.5K
BUY VWAP 31.6¢·1 fill
hamloKaren Khachanov$11.2K
BUY VWAP 74.6¢·2 fills
FlaznorpKaren Khachanov$10.7K
BUY VWAP 63.9¢·2 fills
TRCMKaren Khachanov$10.0K
BUY VWAP 67.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.