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US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $88.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $597.3KEvent: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova
79.5¢
Iga Swiatek
20.5¢
Marie Bouzkova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets79Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution91Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority63Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:256 trades$271.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iga Swiatek · $74.2K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$93.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIga Swiatek$20.8K@ 87¢·0b1fe

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Iga Swiatek SETUP
What the tape says

Iga Swiatek pressure: $12.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$12.4K
6h
+$59.3K
tracked
$271.4K

11 verified profitable wallets: Iga Swiatek · $74.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 63

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Iga Swiatek or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Marie Bouzkova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Marie Bouzkova. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Iga Swiatek46m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Marie Bouzkova1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 80.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Marie Bouzkova@ 21.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp
Latest book event: Marie Bouzkova DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $8.7K → $16.9K · 31s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Marie Bouzkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIga Swiatek · $12.4K
6hIga Swiatek · $59.3K
24hIga Swiatek · $96.0K

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Marie Bouzkova fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h79.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d79.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$21
85¢
$135.9K
80¢
$29.2K
75¢
← now
$40.8K
70¢
$20.6K
65¢
$199
60¢
$34.6K
55¢
$10.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIga Swiatek$10.0K@ 59.0¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMarie Bouzkova$11.0K@ 39.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIga Swiatek$13.1K@ 87.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIga Swiatek$13.3K@ 87.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIga Swiatek$20.8K@ 87.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLIga Swiatek$17.5K@ 87.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMarie Bouzkova$13.6K@ 25.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$10.1K@ 84.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$15.6K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$10.4K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feIga Swiatek$36.6K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Iga Swiatek$26.1K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·2 fills
0x78be…bde0Marie Bouzkova$18.6K
BUY VWAP 25.3¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardIga Swiatek$15.6K
BUY VWAP 82.6¢·6 fills
007theone1Iga Swiatek$15.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills
n0tTODAYIga Swiatek$13.3K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Marie Bouzkova$11.0K
BUY VWAP 39.1¢·1 fill
AGUGavaIga Swiatek$10.8K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·2 fills
beeemwIga Swiatek$10.1K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
soukaevIga Swiatek$10.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.