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US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $203.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $126.6KEvent: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo
82.5¢
Alexander Zverev
17.5¢
Alejandro Tabilo
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection39Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets88Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$38.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alexander Zverev · $17.6K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$19.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Zverev$16.2K@ 82¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alexander Zverev pressure: $15.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$15.1K
6h
+$21.5K
tracked
$38.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: Alexander Zverev · $17.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alexander Zverev or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alejandro Tabilo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alexander Zverev@ 83.0¢57m ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alexander Zverev; negative values favor Alejandro Tabilo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlexander Zverev · $15.1K
6hAlexander Zverev · $21.5K
24hAlexander Zverev · $28.5K

Alexander Zverev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alexander Zverev price. Alejandro Tabilo fills are converted to the complementary Alexander Zverev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current82.5¢
VWAP 24h82.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d83.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alexander Zverev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$15.0K
80¢
← now
$38.8K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlexander Zverev$16.2K@ 82.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlexander Zverev$15.0K@ 86.4¢
Cuco840xf3b0…23a1
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Cuco84Alexander Zverev$25.0K
BUY VWAP 85.2¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Alexander Zverev$16.2K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.