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Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $392.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $996.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
100.0¢
Spirit
0.1¢
Team Falcons
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:266 trades$332.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit · $61.2K net·19 wallets·$93.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$31.1K@ 39¢·huli3882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Falcons pressure: $13.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$13.8K
6h
+$24.2K
tracked
$332.9K

19 verified profitable wallets: Spirit · $61.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -36.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the BLAST Open Porto Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
t1982 linked markets · $100.9K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $53.0K gross
CORGI82 linked markets · $33.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Falcons1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 37.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 37.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Team Falcons UP 9.9pp · near-book depth $3 → $17 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $13.8K
6hSpirit · $24.2K
24hSpirit · $24.2K

Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h73.0¢▲ above by 26.9pp
VWAP 7d73.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$76.8K
90¢
$6.9K
85¢
$13.3K
80¢
$6.2K
75¢
$14.1K
70¢
$11.1K
65¢
$28.4K
60¢
$138.3K
55¢
$14.6K
50¢
$19.1K
45¢
$3.2K
40¢
$997
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSpirit$18.1K@ 99.9¢
t1980x90aa…0dca
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYTeam Falcons$31.1K@ 38.9¢
huli38820x1d2e…896d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSpirit$11.4K@ 63.0¢
t1980x90aa…0dca
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons$12.3K@ 36.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

huli3882Team Falcons$31.1K
BUY VWAP 38.9¢·1 fill
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fSpirit$23.7K
BUY VWAP 72.7¢·15 fills
meoooowTeam Falcons$17.0K
BUY VWAP 36.3¢·2 fills
RoshanMVPSpirit$11.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·2 fills
t198Spirit$11.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.