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Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Boston Red SoxLiquidity: $89.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $96.9KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
100.0¢
Boston Red Sox payout
0.0¢
Baltimore Orioles payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox$19.2K@ 75¢·User1244322

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Boston Red Sox. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 17:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 6 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor Baltimore Orioles. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $47.2K
6hBoston Red Sox · $47.2K
24hBoston Red Sox · $47.2K

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. Baltimore Orioles fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h75.0¢▲ above by 25.0pp
VWAP 7d75.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$47.2K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBoston Red Sox$19.2K@ 75.0¢
User12443220xe558…dcd2
🐋—24 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.