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Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $314.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $250.5KEvent: Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona - More Markets
54.5¢
FC Barcelona
45.5¢
Sevilla FC
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly49Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$88.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSevilla FC$45.7K@ 45¢·Jsram

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

FC Barcelona pressure: $1.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.3K
6h
−$21.3K
tracked
$88.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: FC Barcelona · $12.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 43

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from FC Barcelona or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sevilla FC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for September 19 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Barcelona" if FC Barcelona win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Sevilla FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $23.4K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $14.4K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $6.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Sevilla FC@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FC Barcelona; negative values favor Sevilla FC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFC Barcelona · $1.3K
6hSevilla FC · $21.3K
24hSevilla FC · $9.4K

FC Barcelona price VWAP

Volume-weighted FC Barcelona price. Sevilla FC fills are converted to the complementary FC Barcelona probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h55.9¢▼ below by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d55.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FC Barcelona price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.9K
55¢
$85.6K
50¢
← now
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSevilla FC$45.7K@ 45.0¢
Jsram0x8372…5223
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFC Barcelona$12.5K@ 56.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JsramSevilla FC$45.7K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiFC Barcelona$17.5K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·15 fills
ferrariChampions2026FC Barcelona$12.5K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.