Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Senators pressure: $3.1K net directional flow in 1h.
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 78% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Senators or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators".
•If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Senators price VWAP
Largest holders
Senators price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.