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Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $91.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $216.3KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
73.0¢
Cleveland Guardians
27.0¢
Minnesota Twins
10.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection65Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:32 trades$107.7K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Minnesota Twins · $2.0K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$40.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$24.7K@ 55¢·xifutloong3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cleveland Guardians pressure: $69.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$69.5K
6h
+$65.1K
tracked
$107.7K

5 verified profitable wallets: Minnesota Twins · $2.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
10.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 87% · priority 62

Since latest accumulation: +26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Spread is 10.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cleveland Guardians or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 18:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 13 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cleveland Guardians21m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Cleveland Guardians21m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 52.0¢27m ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 52.0¢27m ago
15m CONFIRMED +19.0pp
Latest book event: Minnesota Twins DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $14.4K → $2.7K · 103s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cleveland Guardians; negative values favor Minnesota Twins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $69.5K
6hCleveland Guardians · $65.1K
24hCleveland Guardians · $65.1K

Cleveland Guardians price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cleveland Guardians price. Minnesota Twins fills are converted to the complementary Cleveland Guardians probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.0¢
VWAP 24h54.1¢▲ above by 18.9pp
VWAP 7d54.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cleveland Guardians price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$1
65¢
$9.2K
60¢
$1.7K
55¢
$68.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$27.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$21.3K@ 55.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$24.7K@ 55.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$14.8K@ 53.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$10.2K@ 47.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xifutloong3Cleveland Guardians$50.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Minnesota Twins$14.8K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Cleveland Guardians$10.2K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.