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Georgia vs. Arkansas

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 minutesLiquidity: $288.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $224.2KEvent: Georgia vs. Arkansas
95.6¢
Georgia
4.4¢
Arkansas
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:21 trades$129.6K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 50s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGeorgia$67.3K@ 96¢·jaytee158

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Georgia SETUP
What the tape says

Georgia pressure: $53.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$53.5K
6h
+$120.7K
tracked
$129.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Georgia · $67.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 64

Since latest large flow: -0.5pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Georgia or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Georgia" if Georgia win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Georgia and Arkansas, scheduled for September 19 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Georgia" if Georgia win the game. This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Georgia@ 96.3¢14m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Georgia@ 96.3¢15m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Georgia@ 96.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -0.6pp1h STALLED -0.5pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Georgia; negative values favor Arkansas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGeorgia · $53.5K
6hGeorgia · $120.7K
24hGeorgia · $125.7K

Georgia price VWAP

Volume-weighted Georgia price. Arkansas fills are converted to the complementary Georgia probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current95.6¢
VWAP 24h96.0¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d96.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Georgia price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$129.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGeorgia$21.5K@ 96.2¢
phonesculptor0xf152…64aa
🐋—16 minutes ago
BUYGeorgia$23.5K@ 96.0¢
177-letsgo0x7a75…d288
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYGeorgia$67.3K@ 96.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

jaytee158Georgia$67.3K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·1 fill
177-letsgoGeorgia$27.7K
BUY VWAP 96.0¢·2 fills
phonesculptorGeorgia$21.5K
BUY VWAP 96.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.