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Wyoming vs. Central Michigan

Sports→Settlement: Central MichiganLiquidity: $3.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $377.9KEvent: Wyoming vs. Central Michigan
0.0¢
Wyoming payout
100.0¢
Central Michigan payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Central Michigan · $9.4K net·4 wallets·$24.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCentral Michigan$19.5K@ 50¢·jesterthegoose

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Central Michigan. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Wyoming" if Wyoming win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Wyoming and Central Michigan, scheduled for September 19 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wyoming" if Wyoming win the game. This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Central Michigan@ 95.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +2.1pp1h INVALIDATED -50.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Wyoming@ 52.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Wyoming@ 52.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Wyoming@ 52.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Wyoming; negative values favor Central Michigan. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCentral Michigan · $8.1K
6hWyoming · $52.7K
24hWyoming · $52.7K

Wyoming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Wyoming price. Central Michigan fills are converted to the complementary Wyoming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h45.9¢▼ below by 45.9pp
VWAP 7d46.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Wyoming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$152.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$9.7K
0¢
← now
$8.1K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCentral Michigan$19.5K@ 49.7¢
jesterthegoose0xbb9c…072b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYWyoming$10.1K@ 51.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYWyoming$12.7K@ 51.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYWyoming$11.3K@ 51.0¢
Anjun0x4337…8882
🐋—3 days ago
BUYWyoming$14.6K@ 51.0¢
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r0x224a…a3d5
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooWyoming$51.0K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·21 fills
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rWyoming$23.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·3 fills
jesterthegooseCentral Michigan$19.5K
BUY VWAP 49.7¢·1 fill
AnjunWyoming$14.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.