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LSU vs. Ole Miss

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $65.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $91.5KEvent: LSU vs. Ole Miss
54.5¢
LSU
45.5¢
Ole Miss
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$26.5K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 768 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LSU · $4.7K net·3 wallets·$16.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLSU$2.6K@ 52¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$26.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: LSU · $4.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 768 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-19 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between LSU and Ole Miss, scheduled for September 19 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. This market will resolve to "Ole Miss" if Ole Miss win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LSU; negative values favor Ole Miss. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLSU · $0
6hLSU · $0
24hLSU · $8.4K

LSU price VWAP

Volume-weighted LSU price. Ole Miss fills are converted to the complementary LSU probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current54.5¢
VWAP 24h54.8¢▼ below by 0.3pp
VWAP 7d54.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LSU price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$3.6K
55¢
$9.0K
50¢
← now
$14.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.