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Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $156.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $689.9KEvent: Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
73.5¢
Francisca Jorge
26.5¢
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:175 trades$263.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata just now
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francisca Jorge · $5.6K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$132.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrancisca Jorge$22.0K@ 70¢·googleplay

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Francisca Jorge pressure: $39.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$39.7K
6h
+$110.0K
tracked
$263.3K

13 verified profitable wallets: Francisca Jorge · $5.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 49

Since latest market sweep: -36.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Francisca Jorge or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisca Jorge and Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisca Jorge' if Francisca Jorge advances against Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva' if Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva advances against Francisca Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva@ 63.0¢35m ago
15m INVALIDATED -43.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Francisca Jorge@ 76.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva@ 18.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +40.0pp
Latest book event: Francisca Jorge UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $513 → $63.2K · 17s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Francisca Jorge; negative values favor Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisca Jorge · $39.7K
6hFrancisca Jorge · $110.0K
24hFrancisca Jorge · $110.0K

Francisca Jorge price VWAP

Volume-weighted Francisca Jorge price. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva fills are converted to the complementary Francisca Jorge probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h65.8¢▲ above by 7.7pp
VWAP 7d65.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Francisca Jorge price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$19.0K
85¢
$14.9K
80¢
$20.6K
75¢
$13.5K
70¢
← now
$33.5K
65¢
$78.4K
60¢
$5.9K
55¢
$7.5K
50¢
$5.9K
45¢
$46.6K
40¢
$1.6K
35¢
$3.1K
30¢
$17.7K
25¢
$3.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFrancisca Jorge$15.0K@ 49.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYFrancisca Jorge$21.2K@ 69.6¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancisca Jorge$22.0K@ 69.8¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrancisca Jorge$13.4K@ 69.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayFrancisca Jorge$78.9K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·7 fills
0x1610…ae49Francisca Jorge$59.5K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·13 fills
0x1610…ae49Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva$43.0K
BUY VWAP 19.2¢·11 fills
0xe907…cff6Francisca Jorge$14.1K
BUY VWAP 91.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.