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Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs

Sports→Settlement: Atlanta BravesLiquidity: $207.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $341.3KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
100.0¢
Atlanta Braves payout
0.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:174 trades$136.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 148 min agoofficial metadata 133 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Atlanta Braves · $7.9K net·18 wallets(1🐋)·$85.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAtlanta Braves$15.9K@ 43¢·0x1610…ae49

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Atlanta Braves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-22 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 15 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Atlanta Braves@ 43.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs DOWN 26.0pp · near-book depth $87 → $230 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Chicago Cubs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $3.5K
6hChicago Cubs · $9.8K
24hChicago Cubs · $10.1K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Chicago Cubs fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h46.4¢▲ above by 53.6pp
VWAP 7d46.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.1K
90¢
$1
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$2.1K
75¢
$18.7K
70¢
$8.7K
65¢
$5.2K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.5K
45¢
$286
40¢
$38.3K
35¢
$8.5K
30¢
$21.7K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$12.3K
15¢
$2.0K
10¢
$6.8K
5¢
$965
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAtlanta Braves$15.9K@ 43.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x1610…ae49Atlanta Braves$15.9K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill
dabossrealmanAtlanta Braves$14.3K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardChicago Cubs$10.6K
BUY VWAP 52.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.