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Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $103.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $465.4KEvent: Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
45.5¢
Miami Marlins
54.5¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets5Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:173 trades$221.6K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Miami Marlins · $2.4K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$45.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$50.9K@ 58¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Miami Marlins pressure: $1.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.4K
6h
−$96.1K
tracked
$221.6K

11 verified profitable wallets: Miami Marlins · $2.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 44

Since latest accumulation: -4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miami Marlins or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 15 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $34.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $23.0K gross
pups102 linked markets · $495 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 59.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 59.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +5.0pp
Latest book event: Arizona Diamondbacks UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $19.8K → $1.2K · 60s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami Marlins; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $1.4K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $96.1K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $98.1K

Miami Marlins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami Marlins price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Miami Marlins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h38.9¢▲ above by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d38.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami Marlins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$0
40¢
$158.1K
35¢
$23.1K
30¢
$28.3K
25¢
$7.3K
20¢
$4.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami Marlins$12.8K@ 31.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$50.9K@ 58.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$25.9K@ 59.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$44.5K@ 59.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYMiami Marlins$12.7K@ 43.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Arizona Diamondbacks$121.3K
BUY VWAP 58.6¢·3 fills
0x3dfb…abafMiami Marlins$15.3K
BUY VWAP 31.7¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardArizona Diamondbacks$12.9K
BUY VWAP 66.2¢·4 fills
0x1610…ae49Miami Marlins$12.7K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.