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New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins

Sports→Settlement: New York YankeesLiquidity: $270.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $221.4KEvent: New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
100.0¢
New York Yankees payout
0.0¢
Minnesota Twins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:47 trades$92.0K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 153 min agoofficial metadata 133 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Minnesota Twins · $2.7K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$20.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMinnesota Twins$19.0K@ 38¢·SDTrading

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome New York Yankees. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-22 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 15 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $1.3K gross
0x9b11…53752 linked markets · $312 gross
UpTheBlues2 linked markets · $32 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Minnesota Twins@ 38.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: New York Yankees UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $19.5K → $3.3K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Yankees; negative values favor Minnesota Twins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMinnesota Twins · $2.6K
6hNew York Yankees · $32.0K
24hMinnesota Twins · $8.6K

New York Yankees price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Yankees price. Minnesota Twins fills are converted to the complementary New York Yankees probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.1¢▲ above by 30.9pp
VWAP 7d69.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Yankees price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.7K
90¢
$27
85¢
$15
80¢
$9.7K
75¢
$1.5K
70¢
$5
65¢
$310
60¢
$68.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Yankees$12.0K@ 62.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$10.2K@ 38.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$19.0K@ 38.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYMinnesota Twins$11.4K@ 38.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingMinnesota Twins$30.4K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
0xf559…f462New York Yankees$12.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Minnesota Twins$10.2K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.