PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros

Sports→Settlement: Houston AstrosLiquidity: $352.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $323.7KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
0.0¢
Kansas City Royals payout
100.0¢
Houston Astros payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:57 trades$136.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 148 min agoofficial metadata 123 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kansas City Royals · $45.3K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$95.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKansas City Royals$56.9K@ 40¢·Talvez10

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Houston Astros. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 00:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 15 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Talvez102 linked markets · $66.1K gross
kabina-2 linked markets · $19.6K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $4.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Kansas City Royals@ 41.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Kansas City Royals UP 9.3pp · near-book depth $198 → $120 · 27s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kansas City Royals; negative values favor Houston Astros. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHouston Astros · $4.1K
6hKansas City Royals · $41.8K
24hKansas City Royals · $37.8K

Kansas City Royals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kansas City Royals price. Houston Astros fills are converted to the complementary Kansas City Royals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h33.2¢▼ below by 33.2pp
VWAP 7d33.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Kansas City Royals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$80.4K
35¢
$11.8K
30¢
$5.2K
25¢
$15.3K
20¢
$7.4K
15¢
$384
10¢
$9.0K
5¢
$2.9K
0¢
← now
$3.5K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHouston Astros$14.2K@ 74.0¢0x20f4…15e1🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYKansas City Royals$56.9K@ 40.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
33.5¢$769.1Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$431.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva
37.5¢$354.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Kansas City Royals$56.9K
BUY VWAP 40.0¢·1 fill
0x20f4…15e1Houston Astros$14.2K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
dabossrealmanHouston Astros$10.9K
BUY VWAP 70.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.