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Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $2.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $102.6KEvent: Miami (FL) vs. Wake Forest
52.0¢
Miami (FL)
49.0¢
Wake Forest
59.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution5Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:13 trades$51.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami (FL)$36.7K@ 54¢·PerpsKing

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$119
tracked
$51.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
59.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 63 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 59.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 20 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wake Forest".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 18 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami (FL)" if Miami (FL) win the game by 20 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wake Forest". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $26.6K gross
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r2 linked markets · $16.7K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $5.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Miami (FL)@ 54.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami (FL)@ 54.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Miami (FL); negative values favor Wake Forest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami (FL) · $0
6hMiami (FL) · $119
24hMiami (FL) · $51.2K

Miami (FL) price VWAP

Volume-weighted Miami (FL) price. Wake Forest fills are converted to the complementary Miami (FL) probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.0¢
VWAP 24h54.1¢▼ below by 2.1pp
VWAP 7d54.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Miami (FL) price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$6.8K
50¢
← now
$44.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiami (FL)$36.7K@ 54.0¢
PerpsKing0x8e92…15de
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PerpsKingMiami (FL)$50.6K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.