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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $135.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $478.4KEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
32.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
67.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets8Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$172.5K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cincinnati Reds · $4.7K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$55.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$20.0K@ 68¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Cincinnati Reds pressure: $7.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.7K
6h
+$38.4K
tracked
$172.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: Cincinnati Reds · $4.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 44

Since latest large flow: +35.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 35.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cincinnati Reds or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $39.4K gross
HomeRunHazard4 linked markets · $30.2K gross
SDTrading2 linked markets · $19.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 33.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp
Latest book event: Los Angeles Dodgers UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $252 → $8 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Los Angeles Dodgers; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $7.7K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $38.4K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $48.7K

Los Angeles Dodgers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Los Angeles Dodgers price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Los Angeles Dodgers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h60.9¢▼ below by 28.4pp
VWAP 7d60.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Los Angeles Dodgers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$3.0K
65¢
$121.8K
60¢
$14.9K
55¢
$1.3K
50¢
$1.7K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$5.4K
35¢
$5.3K
30¢
← now
$7.7K
25¢
$5.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$147
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$20.0K@ 68.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$16.5K@ 33.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYCincinnati Reds$11.2K@ 33.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$11.8K@ 66.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf559…f462Los Angeles Dodgers$20.0K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Cincinnati Reds$17.3K
BUY VWAP 33.7¢·2 fills
SDTradingCincinnati Reds$16.5K
BUY VWAP 33.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Los Angeles Dodgers$11.8K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.