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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $41.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $437.4KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
95.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies
5.0¢
Washington Nationals
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets44Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution82Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:123 trades$157.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Washington Nationals · $30.4K net·14 wallets·$68.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$34.9K@ 64¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $7.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.7K
6h
+$18.2K
tracked
$157.2K

14 verified profitable wallets: Washington Nationals · $30.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 84% · priority 52

Since latest large flow: +31.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 31.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-23 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals, scheduled for September 16 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $42.5K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $19.2K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $11.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 65.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +15.0pp
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $10.5K → $429 · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Washington Nationals. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $7.7K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $18.2K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $27.6K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Washington Nationals fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current95.0¢
VWAP 24h71.3¢▲ above by 23.7pp
VWAP 7d71.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$6.8K
85¢
$3.5K
80¢
$37.4K
75¢
$12.7K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$8.1K
60¢
$84.9K
55¢
$2.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$34.9K@ 64.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.3K@ 64.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafPhiladelphia Phillies$34.9K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49Washington Nationals$29.2K
BUY VWAP 27.2¢·6 fills
HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$12.7K
BUY VWAP 82.8¢·4 fills
0xc323…0077Washington Nationals$10.8K
BUY VWAP 18.3¢·4 fills
SDTradingPhiladelphia Phillies$10.3K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.