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Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $331.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $445.7KEvent: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0.0¢
Athletics payout
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:138 trades$184.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $68.5K net·10 wallets(2🐋)·$72.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAthletics$29.6K@ 38¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 16 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
1winstreak12 linked markets · $22.0K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $14.7K gross
0xbbf3…aa3a2 linked markets · $7.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 83.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Athletics@ 36.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -17.0pp1h INVALIDATED -24.0pp
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 10.0pp · near-book depth $722 → $1.9K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Athletics; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $10.4K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $79.6K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $92.3K

Athletics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Athletics price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Athletics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h22.5¢▼ below by 22.5pp
VWAP 7d22.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Athletics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$74.9K
30¢
$3.2K
25¢
$305
20¢
$4.5K
15¢
$14.2K
10¢
$53.0K
5¢
$32.3K
0¢
← now
$1.7K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$10.7K@ 86.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$11.6K@ 93.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$10.0K@ 64.0¢
Mr.Ape0x26f8…3452
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAthletics$29.6K@ 38.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$13.5K@ 63.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafAthletics$29.6K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
0F62Tampa Bay Rays$26.4K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·4 fills
0x1610…ae49Tampa Bay Rays$20.9K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·2 fills
1winstreak1Tampa Bay Rays$20.7K
BUY VWAP 85.9¢·8 fills
Mr.ApeTampa Bay Rays$10.0K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.