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Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $64.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $327.6KEvent: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
82.5¢
Boston Red Sox
17.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets24Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:60 trades$139.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 13 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Boston Red Sox · $8.7K net·9 wallets·$36.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBoston Red Sox$25.9K@ 44¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Boston Red Sox pressure: $20.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$20.9K
6h
+$37.1K
tracked
$139.3K

9 verified profitable wallets: Boston Red Sox · $8.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +38.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 13 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 38.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Boston Red Sox or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 18 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $9.1K gross
MAGATheeStallion2 linked markets · $4.0K gross
0x73e8…cd6f2 linked markets · $2.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Boston Red Sox@ 45.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Boston Red Sox UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $10 → $874 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Boston Red Sox; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBoston Red Sox · $20.9K
6hBoston Red Sox · $37.1K
24hBoston Red Sox · $17.5K

Boston Red Sox price VWAP

Volume-weighted Boston Red Sox price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary Boston Red Sox probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current82.5¢
VWAP 24h47.2¢▲ above by 35.3pp
VWAP 7d47.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Boston Red Sox price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$88
75¢
$10.1K
70¢
$37
65¢
$2
60¢
$13
55¢
$70
50¢
$9.1K
45¢
$27.0K
40¢
$91.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.9K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays$14.6K@ 56.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$25.9K@ 44.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYBoston Red Sox$20.1K@ 44.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Boston Red Sox$46.0K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·2 fills
quavooTampa Bay Rays$16.9K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.